Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 2.615384 2.755110 2.900795 3.064481 3.243816 3.434946 3.654869
2025-11-02 2.371301 2.571351 2.790257 3.049438 3.350410 3.692031 4.113726
2025-11-09 2.190039 2.416812 2.672447 2.985368 3.362936 3.810397 4.391259
2025-11-16 2.063010 2.307547 2.589652 2.944245 3.385673 3.928108 4.663750
2025-11-23 1.989742 2.252811 2.562742 2.961993 3.473945 4.125580 5.048986
2025-11-30 1.922112 2.198676 2.530383 2.966862 3.541364 4.296258 5.410690
2025-12-07 1.827850 2.106008 2.443883 2.895316 3.500940 4.315809 5.557010
2025-12-14 1.747703 2.026523 2.369026 2.832937 3.466156 4.336962 5.703024
2025-12-21 1.696458 1.980517 2.333685 2.819178 3.494560 4.446261 5.990290
2025-12-28 1.649750 1.937912 2.300140 2.804936 3.519739 4.550576 6.278596
2026-01-04 1.609003 1.901040 2.271969 2.795665 3.550030 4.662892 6.590654
2026-01-11 1.580240 1.878319 2.261035 2.808826 3.612412 4.827376 7.010047
2026-01-18 1.548181 1.851799 2.246073 2.818653 3.675203 5.005490 7.495077
2026-01-25 1.508898 1.814570 2.215414 2.804944 3.702217 5.129782 7.904240
2026-02-01 1.457643 1.759435 2.157867 2.749020 3.659735 5.133783 8.078443
2026-02-08 1.416566 1.716588 2.115539 2.713061 3.645731 5.183968 8.352730
2026-02-15 1.395338 1.699781 2.108532 2.728585 3.713935 5.382070 8.972308
2026-02-22 1.371779 1.678878 2.094746 2.732843 3.763496 5.550907 9.561456
2026-03-01 1.328387 1.629402 2.038712 2.670222 3.698354 5.502729 9.637255
2026-03-08 1.289602 1.585334 1.989108 2.615522 3.643503 5.469463 9.744675
2026-03-15 1.265853 1.561500 1.967740 2.603443 3.659837 5.572612 10.210839
2026-03-22 1.243154 1.538492 1.946769 2.590936 3.674386 5.673156 10.692441
2026-03-29 1.222820 1.518247 1.929126 2.582791 3.695768 5.788865 11.242542